Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 2.039272 2.347454 2.680434 3.066189 3.499996 3.971963 4.523493
2024-10-06 1.649071 2.096623 2.622356 3.281915 4.083322 5.021364 6.197952
2024-10-13 1.335039 1.855189 2.513060 3.397349 4.544799 5.972219 7.869481
2024-10-20 1.067110 1.608961 2.341808 3.389380 4.829262 6.717014 9.352792
2024-10-27 0.895436 1.452853 2.253069 3.460232 5.203900 7.594255 11.072719
2024-11-03 0.760535 1.320743 2.170189 3.515594 5.546977 8.443524 12.813497
2024-11-10 0.643487 1.192230 2.068394 3.520578 5.804448 9.179817 14.440682
2024-11-17 0.540081 1.065633 1.947559 3.473813 5.968022 9.779295 15.900768
2024-11-24 0.450306 0.945178 1.816836 3.389358 6.054757 10.257788 17.200976
2024-12-01 0.391425 0.869763 1.750420 3.399993 6.288824 10.973045 18.905035
2024-12-08 0.337527 0.793646 1.670778 3.374991 6.455090 11.584628 20.477567
2024-12-15 0.305005 0.754609 1.653486 3.457364 6.808899 12.521653 22.629304
2024-12-22 0.271365 0.709210 1.621709 3.516733 7.141227 13.470714 24.908339
2024-12-29 0.254003 0.697323 1.656065 3.708248 7.734307 14.914757 28.129118
2025-01-05 0.230418 0.666413 1.646701 3.812143 8.173418 16.121901 31.025111
2025-01-12 0.200192 0.612884 1.580665 3.791933 8.371671 16.911434 33.240388
2025-01-19 0.180559 0.582195 1.560576 3.864744 8.756857 18.065249 36.173246
2025-01-26 0.162413 0.551488 1.535630 3.923218 9.116543 19.193259 39.124156
2025-02-02 0.143501 0.514241 1.489193 3.927522 9.363259 20.120953 41.757281
2025-02-09 0.124306 0.471430 1.422056 3.875481 9.484639 20.811702 43.982906
2025-02-16 0.105995 0.426529 1.342005 3.782227 9.506507 21.304599 45.855587
2025-02-23 0.094368 0.400330 1.307215 3.793823 9.758742 22.271750 48.696322
2025-03-02 0.082790 0.371134 1.259275 3.766234 9.918690 23.058452 51.222306